After launching at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds, won the pole Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen last year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks, you want to find out exactly what SportsLine’s innovative computer model must say.
The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has a proven history in a number of sports. It also forces McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way have been in his blood, and his model has been beating its 2018 NASCAR picks.
The model has made several huge calls this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it pinpointed five of the top 10 in Bristol and two of the top five in Daytona, simply to mention a few. Anyone following its picks this season is way, way up.
Now the 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen field is secured, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were so unexpected.
One surprising pick from the model for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to win at 6-1, doesn’t sniff the top 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his stellar beginning place of third.
Elliott is still in search of his initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his past seven starts, but was just 19th in Chicago and 34th at Daytona a month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again began near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) in the final clinics for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the model says he’s a favorite to fade.
Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best odds at 4-1, doesn’t even finish in the top five.
He has had lots of success on road tracks, including winning final year. But he’s a risky choice at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of his past six races here. There are better values out there in this affluent Go Bowling at The Glen area.
Rather, the version is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a monster long haul. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.
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