This weekend, we have a 14-fight card at Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate contests out there with this Fight Night card, which can be rare for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be chasing this week. As always, I will be in the 3-entry max and only entry GPPs as well. But this week DraftKings includes two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib fight. Hotel flight, and fights all paid for. The floor chairs competition is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats contest is simply a $15 entrance. I will have to take a few shots in that as well. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry with a massive $100,000 to 1st place. That is unquestionably the biggest prize we’ve ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can shoot some additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this week as well as my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is your strongest triumph on the card and that I think she gets this fight finished early. That is where I’m starting my cash LUs weekly. Only give me the -1100 favored who’s being fed an easy win , for my money games. I do like a lot of the top favorites with this particular card, I simply would be the most shocked if Souza lost. I think she is good in both formats, but she will probably be chalky in GPPs, therefore money games are the ideal place to get your Souza investment this week. Take this win, and then find 3 others and you need to be useful in money games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I’m a big Charles»Can Bronx» Oliveira fan, and he’s a few of my favorites submissions in UFC history. I think we can see another amazing one here. This fight seems simple to call. Do Bronx will start looking for the early takedown and if he can get it then he probably receives a 1st round sub. If that happens he should lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty certain in that being the results of this fight, so that’s why he is my GPP play of the week. He is also my GPP play of this week, rather than my Money play of the week for a reason. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely stop and get finished himself together with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that risk of a reduced floor because of my cash LU, therefore I prefer Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the 200 and moving down to perform Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I would like Anders more if he was not taking this fight on short notice, and when it was not in Brazil. But he can have a clear route to success here and that is by knocking out Santos who does not possess a great chin. Anders could also opt for takedowns in this fight and he could win with a few hard GNP too. At $7.6k he’ll almost surely end up on the winning LU when he is able to get the KO. This is the main event, so he’ll have 5 rounds to function with. I really do think this is a good matchup for Anders, however he has to be aggressive and not hang out to the outside. When he hangs out to the outside as long Santos will eat him up with kisses and it could be a short night for Anders. I will select him to get the win as an underdog in Brazil and I think he gets it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you’re able to get your other 5 spots correct as well.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is a fade for me. I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was quite wrong and he scored over 100 points. If this happens , then so be it. However, I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a 9.2k salary by a man who doesn’t throw several strikes. At $9.2k I want at least 92 points from Alvey if I roll up him and the only real way get gets that’s with a 1st round KO win. That could occur here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each fight, my private strategies & recommendations, and my pick outlook for every single fight then you can find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can go to this link below:
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